A tropical disturbance just east of Florida has a 50 percent chance of forming into a storm over the next five days, according to the National Hurricane Center.
In a statement, the NHC said the disturbance is made up of the remnants of Tropical Storm Beryl, which was once a hurricane and fell apart on Sunday as it moved through the Carribean. It has a chance of renewing as it moves through the western Atlantic Ocean.
The disturbance is producing unorganized showers and thunderstorms, extending from the Bahamas northeastward over the western Atlantic for a few hundred miles. It was 10 percent chance of forming over the next 48 hours and a 50 percent chance of forming over the next five days.
“There are no signs of a surface circulation, and surface pressures are not falling at this time,” the statement said. “Little or no development is expected today, but conditions could become a little more favorable later in the week and over the weekend while the disturbance moves slowly northward and northeastward over the western Atlantic.”
Beryl was the first hurricane to form within the month of July in the main development region. It is the second named storm and the first hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season. It was formed from a tropical wave.
However, increasingly unfavorable conditions had caused a rapid deterioration of the hurricane just after its peak. The NHC will be keeping an eye on its remnants.
Last month, researchers updated their 2018 forecast to now call for a near-average season with at least two major hurricanes and a 51 percent chance of landfall on the U.S. coastline. Still, coastal residents are urged to prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted.
A new survey has found most Floridians are not adequately prepared for the new hurricane season, despite being punished for this last year.
